What the independents expect: the Treasury's August forecast round-up
The monthly compilation gathers outside projections for growth, inflation, unemployment and borrowing.
HM Treasury published its August compilation of independent forecasts for the UK economy, the monthly document that gathers projections from City and academic forecasters for growth, inflation, unemployment and government borrowing.
The compilation is the cleanest way to see the consensus and its spread in one place — and, just as usefully, to see who sits at the edges of it.
This month's round lands amid genuinely mixed signals: a slower second quarter but a four-month-high PMI, cooling pay but rising headline inflation. The dispersion between forecasters is worth as much attention as the averages.
The full tables are on gov.uk at the link below.